Artificial Intelligence as a Geostrategic Vector in Reshaping the 21st Century Balance of Power

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.53477/2284-9378-26-05

Keywords:

Artificial Intelligence (AI);, Geostrategy;, Balance of Power;, US-China Competition, Technological Cold War;, International Security;, Algorithmic Warfare, AI Governance;, Semiconductors

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has moved beyond its status as an emerging technology to become the primary vector of geostrategic competition in the 21st century. This paper argues that AI is not merely a tool but a new domain of confrontation that fundamentally reshapes the metrics of national power. The original contribution of this article lies in identifying and analyzing the critical asymmetry between the components of digital power. While data and talent are diffusing resources, computing power (hardware) represents a “choke point” that dictates the global hierarchy. By analyzing the competition between the United States and China, the work examines how the race for AI supremacy redefines military doctrines and economic alliances. In addition, the study specifies the impact of this competition on NATO’s Eastern Flank, demonstrating that for states like Romania, the transition toward algorithmic security is not optional but a survival imperative in the face of hybrid warfare. The paper is structured into four chapters covering the foundations of power, military implications, the “Technological Cold War,” and global ideological divergence

Author Biography

Dumitru-Cătălin VASILE, “Mihai Viteazul” National Intelligence Academy, Bucharest

Dumitru-Cătălin Vasile is an experienced professional in artificial intelligence governance, cybersecurity, and digital transformation. He currently serves as the Lead of the Department for Artificial Intelligence and Emerging Technologies within the Ministry of Economy, Digitalization, Entrepreneurship, and Tourism of Romania. He previously served as an Advisor for Digitalization, AI, and Cybersecurity in both the Ministry of Research, Innovation, and Digitalization and the Ministry of Economy, Digitalization, Entrepreneurship, and Tourism.

With over two decades of experience in the technology sector, Cătălin has held leadership roles at Probitas ITC, Zebra Technologies, Motorola Solutions, and Oracle, where he coordinated cross-regional teams and strategic partnerships focused on innovation, software development, and secure digital infrastructure.

He holds an Executive MBA from Tiffin University (Ohio, USA), a Master’s in Business Administration from the University of Bucharest, and a Master’s in E-Business from the Bucharest University of Economic Studies. He is also a Computer Science Engineer, having graduated from the University Politehnica of Bucharest.

Cătălin is currently pursuing a Ph.D. at the National University of Political Studies and Public Administration (SNSPA), where his research examines the impact of Artificial Intelligence and digitalization on foreign policy and defense policy.

He is also a master’s student at the Romanian National Defense University “Carol I” and the “Mihai Viteazul” National Intelligence Academy, further strengthening his expertise in defense, intelligence, and security studies. Additionally, he has completed the Advanced Certificate Program on Counter-Terrorism with specialization in Influence Operations at the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT), Reichman University Israel, expanding his competencies in modern security threats, cognitive warfare, and influence strategies.

Cătălin actively explores how Artificial Intelligence and emerging technologies shape global security, defense strategies, and public policy—particularly their influence on the evolution of modern conflict, from the rise of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems to the expanding domains of cyber and hybrid warfare.

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Published

2026-04-09

How to Cite

VASILE, D.-C. . (2026). Artificial Intelligence as a Geostrategic Vector in Reshaping the 21st Century Balance of Power. BULLETIN OF "CAROL I" NATIONAL DEFENCE UNIVERSITY, 15(1), 77–86. https://doi.org/10.53477/2284-9378-26-05

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Section

Articles