CHINA, THE ILLIBERAL COUNTER-ORDER, AND THE ROLE OF VALUES IN THE STRATEGIC RESPONSE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53477/2784-2487-24-04Keywords:
Russia; China; Iran; International Order; international relations; illiberal regimes; great power competition.Abstract
This study examines how the People’s Republic of China’s advance of its economic and other objectives both supports, and benefits from the challenges by illiberal states to the rules-based international order. It argues that one of the most important dynamics of the current international system is how, in the context of interdependence and interaction accelerated by new technologies, the feedback loop between those activities of the PRC, and its international partners, are simultaneously enriching and empowering the PRC, and expanding the space in which such illiberal actors can operate, while also weakening the institutions and rule of law which have created the basis for interdependence, security, and prosperity since the end of the Second World War. This work recognizes the variety of goals of illiberal actors with which the PRC engages for its own benefit, distinguishing the dynamic from the structure of competing “blocks” that characterized the Cold War. This work further looks at the interaction between political and economic systems under stress new technologies, and the role of the state in this transformational period, It argues that the new dynamic is reopening fundamental questions about the relationship between the state, individual, and society, and associated questions about economic and political organization itself is in question. In addressing these challenges, this work concludes that transactional “competition” between Western democracies and their opponents for the loyalties of the rest is not enough. It argues that that Western democracies must both hedge against the coming destabilization of the international system, while leading by example and advancing more compelling arguments in the new context for why societal interests are best served by the protection of individual rights and individual choice as the foundation of government legitimacy, as well as for individual ownership and initiative, rather than government as the principal generator of economic value and technological progress in society.
References
BIBLIOGRAPHY
"Is Venezuela’s Tren de Aragua «Invading» the US?" 2024. Insight Crime. April 1. https:// insightcrime.org/news/is-venezuelas-tren-de-aragua-invading-us/.
"Short-term outlook report: war in Ukraine continues to impact EU farmers" 2023. European Commission. March 20. https://agriculture.ec.europa.eu/news/short-term-outlook-report-war-ukraine-continues-impact-eu-farmers-2023-03-30_en#:~:text=Short-term%20outlook%20report%3A%20war%20in%20Ukraine%20continues%20to,3%20Milk%20and%20dairy%20products%204%20Meat%20products.
"The Kremlin’s Efforts to Covertly Spread Disinformation in Latin America". 2023. U.S. State Department. Official website. November 7. https://www.state.gov/the-kremlins-efforts-to-covertly-spread-disinformation-in-latin-america/
Atwood, K., 2024. "China is giving Russia significant support to expand weapons manufacturing as Ukraine war continues, US officials say". CNN. April 12. https://www. cnn.com/2024/04/12/politics/china-russia-support-weapons-manufacturing/index.html.
Barkin, J.S., 2006. International Organization: Theories and Institutions. Palgrave Macmillan, New York.
Barnett, M., Finnemore M., 1999. "The Politics, Power, and Pathologies of International Organizations". International Organization. 53, 4, September.
Barnett, M., 1997. "Bringing in the New World Order: Liberalism, Legitimacy, and the United Nations". World Politics. 49 (July).
Bezek, I., 2024. "De-dollarization: What Happens if the Dollar Loses Reserve Status". U.S. News. February 7. https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/de-dollarization-what-happens-if-the-dollar-loses-reserve-status.
Brar, A., 2023. "Houthi Rebel Missiles in the Red Sea Have a Link to China". Newsweek. December 20. https://www.newsweek.com/china-iran-houthis-anti-ship-ballistic-missile-attacks-red-sea-middle-east-1854008.
Caro, C. J. V., 2024. "The Patagonian Enigma: China’s Deep Space Station in Argentina". The Diplomat. January 8. https://thediplomat.com/2024/01/the-patagonian-enigma-chinas-deep-space-station-in-argentina/#:~:text=In%202014%2C%20Argentina%20and%20China%20entered%20 into%20an,and%20data%20acquisition%2C%20including%20a%20deep%20space%20antenna.
Casey, N., Krauss, C., 2018. “It Doesn’t Matter if Ecuador Can Afford This Dam. China Still Gets Paid.” The New Yor Times. December 24. https://www.nytimes.com/ 2018/12/24/world/ americas/ecuador-china-dam.html.
Confidencial. 2023. "Ortega Says Free Trade with China «Frees Us from Sanctions»". December 2022. https://confidencial.digital/english/ortega-says-free-trade-with-china-frees-us-from-sanctions/.
De la Bruyère, E., 2022. "Setting the Standards: Locking in China’s Technological Influence". National Bureau of Asian Research. Special Report No. 97. March 1. https:// www.nbr.org/ publication/setting-the-standards-locking-in-chinas-technological-influence/.
Doyle, M. W., 1986b. "Liberalism and World Politics". American Political Science Review 80.4 December: 1151–1169.
Ellis, R. E., 2022a. "The Transitional World Order: Implications for Latin America and the Caribbean". Global Americans, March 29. https://globalamericans.org/the-transitional-world-order-implications-for-latin-america-and-the-caribbean/.
Ellis, R. Evan. 2022b. "China Engages Latin America: Distorting Development and Democracy?". Palgrave-Macmillan.
Ellis, R. E., 2022c. "China’s Digital Advance in Latin America". Seguridad y Poder Terrestre. Vol. 1, No. 1 (2022): July-September, https://ceeep.mil.pe/2022/06/30/chinas-digital-advance-in-latin-america/?lang=en.
Ellis, R. E., 2023a. "Strategic Implications of the Deterioration of the Rules-Based International Order". Center for Strategic Studies of the Peruvian Army (CEEEP). February 1. https://ceeep.mil.pe/2024/02/01/implicaciones-estrategicas-del-deterioro-del-orden-internacional-basado-en-normas/?lang=en.
Ellis, R. E., 2023b. "The Trouble with China’s Global Civilization Initiative". The Diplomat. June 1. https://thediplomat.com/2023/06/the-trouble-with-chinas-global-civilization-initiative/.
Ellis, R. E., 2024. "Risks of PRC Security Engagement for Latin America and the Caribbean". Dialogo. March 20. https://dialogo-americas.com/articles/risks-of-prc-security-engagement-for-latin-america-and-the-caribbean/.
Godement, F., 2020. "Fighting the Coronavirus Pandemic: China’s Influence at the World Health Organization". The Carnegie Endowment. March 23. https://carnegie endowment.org /posts/2020/03/fighting-the-coronavirus-pandemic-chinas-influence-at-the-world-health-organization?lang=en.
Grady, J., 2022. "China, Russia Quietly Expanding Arctic Partnership, Says Panel". U.S. Naval Institute. October 11. “https://news.usni.org/2022/10/11/china-russia-quietly-expan ding-arctic-partnership-says-panel#:~:text=China%20is%20subtly%20installing%20a%20 larger%20presence%20in,research%20and%20sharing%20intelligence%2C%20surveillance%20and%20reconnaissance%20data.
Handwerker, N., 2022. "Can China’s SWIFT Alternative Give Russia a Lifeline?". The Diplomat. March 10. https://thediplomat.com/2022/03/can-chinas-swift-alternative-give-russia-a-lifeline/.
Hayley, A., 2023. "China's oil trade and investment in Venezuela". Reuters. September 12. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-oil-trade-investment-venezuela-2023-09-
/#:~:text=The%20development%20of%20Venezuelan%20oil%20assets%20has%20been,in%20credit%20lines%20and%20loan-for-oil%20deals%20with%20China.
Inter-american Development Bank. 2013. "China to provide $2 billion for Latin America and the Caribbean Co-financing Fund". March 16. https://www.iadb.org/en/news/china-provide-2-billion-latin-america-and-caribbean-co-financing-fund.
Isachenkov, V., 2023. AP News. "Analysis: China’s sway over Russia grows amid Ukraine fight". March 22. https://apnews.com/article/russia-china-putin-xi-ukraine-alliance-partner ship-us-sanctions-beijing-moscow-9089f4d4b9c0d8bb259b706ffcf4b0f6.
Jaramillo, J., 2019. "Violence in Ecuador, Chile and Mexico could be related". Dallas Morning News. November 3. https://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/commentary/2019/11/03/ violence-in-ecuador-chile-and-mexico-could-be-related/.
Jett, J., Gao, L., Aggarwal, Mithil. 2024. "Putin and Xi vow to deepen 'no limits' partnership as Russia advances in Ukraine". NBC News. May 16. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ putin-xi-agree-deepen-partnership-russia-advances-ukraine-war-rcna152528.
Kegley, Jr., C. W., 1994. Controversies in International Relations Theory: Realism and the Neoliberal Challenge. St. Martin’s Press.
Le Miere, C., 2022. “Commentary: Xi Jinping has eliminated his rivals to dominate new Chinese leadership. Now what?” Center for Naval Analysis. 24 October. https://www. channelnewsasia.com/commentary/china-communist-party-congress-xi-jinping-third-term-politburo-standing-committee-3021831.
March, J., Johan G., Olsen P., 1998. "The Institutional Dynamics of International Political Order". International Organization. Vol. 52 No. 4 (Autumn):943-969.
Mearsheimer, J. J., 2019. "Bound to Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Liberal International Order". International Security. 43 (4): 7–50. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00342.
Moeini, A., 2023. “A Requiem for the Rules-Based Order: The Case for Value-Neutral Ethics in International Relations". Carnegie Council. October 5. https://www.carnegie council.org/ media/article/requiem-rules-based-order.
Monaldi, F., 2019. "China Can Help Save Venezuela. Here’s How". Americas Quarterly. April 15. https://www.americasquarterly.org/article/china-can-help-save-venezuela-heres-how/.
Organski, A., Kenneth, F., 1958. World Politics. New York, NY: Alfred a: Knopf.
Posen, B. R., 2009. “Emerging Multipolarity: Why Should We Care?” Current History. 108 (721): 347-52.
Richardson, J., 2001. Contending Liberalisms in World Politics: Ideology and Power. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.
Rosen, P., 2022. "China is buying Russian oil at a bigger discount using yuan as price cap looms, report says". Business Insider. December 2. https://www.businessinsider.com/china-russian-oil-yuan-steep-discount-price-cap-europe-sanctions-2022-12.
Ryssdal, K., Palacios, D., 2021. "How the shipping container revolutionized freight and trade". Marketplace. Nov 23. https://www.marketplace.org/2021/11/23/how-the-shipping-container-revolutionized-freight-and-trade/.
Slav, I., 2021. "China Set To Buy 1 Million Bpd Of 'Cheap' Iranian Crude This Month". Oil Price. March 30. https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/China-Set-To-Buy-1-Million-Bpd-Of-Cheap-Iranian-Crude-This-Month.html#:~:text=Meanwhile%2C%20China%20is% 20stocking%20up%20on%20cheap%20Iranian,access%20to%20a%20steady%20flow%20of%20cheap%20oil.
Tiezzi, S., 2022. "US State Department Study Dismisses China’s ‘Unlawful Maritime Claims’ in South China Sea". The Diplomat. January 14. https://thediplomat.com/2022/01/us-state-department-study-dismisses-chinas-unlawful-maritime-claims-in-south-china-sea/.
Xu, Muyu. 2023. “EXPLAINER-Iran's expanding oil trade with top buyer China.” NASDAQ. November 10. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/explainer-irans-expanding-oil-trade-with-top-buyer-china