NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND THE CENTRAL BALANCE: STRUCTURAL SCENARIOS

Mihai Vladimir ZODIAN

doi:10.53477/2668-6511-22-19

NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND THE CENTRAL BALANCE: STRUCTURAL SCENARIOS

Authors

Mihai Vladimir ZODIAN, Ph.D.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.53477/2668-6511-22-19

Keywords:

Nuclear weapons, nuclear balance, power transition, deterrence, nuclear strategy, rise of China, prediction.

Abstract

This paper synthetizes earlier studies and aims to investigate how the nuclear equilibrium between the United States and the Russian Federation may change, because of the process of proliferation. A theoretical perspective combining power transition and rational deterrence theory is used to draw a few scenarios. The main goal is to develop general traits and tendencies, by varying the variable of power distribution and use them to develop a few scenarios.