GRAND STRATEGY AND MILITARY IMPLICATIONS OF NEW RUSSIA’S MILITARY DOCTRINE IN 21ST CENTURY: GEOSTRATEGIC ASPECTS OF HYBRID WARFARE STRATEGY AGAINST GEORGIA AND UKRAINE

Abstract

: A paper reflects new dimensions of New Cold War geostrategic balance implications at pan-regional (European) and regional (Black Sea) levels that already has been transformed into classical hybrid warfare
between the Russian Federation and NATO due to the Russia’s invasion into Ukraine. Currently adopted  military doctrine of the Russian Federation envisages engagement into two military conflicts simultaneously and
constructed its strategic operational framework founded on incorporation of three combat elements: military,  non-military and information warfare measures and proper concepts. Hence, it means that Russia can begin
war-game scenarios at the same time against two neighboring nations as it occurs at time being against Ukraine  and Georgia. At that respect, the incumbent Russian military leadership in aegis of so-called “Gerasimov
Doctrine” is promoting hybrid warfare as a key dominant grand strategy with relevant theater strategy and  operational art elements (for instance, operational – strategic command HQ “South” and 5 Army Corp HQs).
The military “muscle” could easily skew and twist European security environment that is much unprepared to  the geostrategic challenge – Crimea occupation and annexation in 2014, war with Georgia in 2008, hybrid
attack to Estonia in 2007 and very recently large-scale military intervention in Azov Sea and pending regional  hegemony conditions in Caspian Basin. These military asymmetric challenges and risks deriving from the arms
race derailed by the Russia’s incumbent authority, and security dilemma embroiled with by the elements of  WMD are sufficient indications why the European security is plausible fragile against such challenges. From
academic standpoint, the thesis deals in analyzing with the most dangerous threat targeting the European  security architecture – asymmetric military challenge and realization of which is pursued in wagging hybrid war
against Georgia and Ukraine. The new type of warfare is a probe stone perfected against these two post-Soviet nations indicates and poses real menace, mainly geostrategic origin, easily targeted NATO member-states,
including Poland. The article predisposes reflection and understanding true meaning of so-called “Gerasimov Doctrine” and the whole new version of Military Doctrine of Russia and how it is implemented at the stage. A
shift transformation takes place in realms of contemporary century warfare doctrinal planning and the  transformation has already implicated of identifying new type of warfare strategy – asymmetric war with
representation of hybrid warfare that contributing in re-shaping a grand strategy that allows policymakers to steer through the uncertainties of a complex international security environment; Elaboration real content and
new definition of “hybrid war” and its dualfold implications how to quell and deal with asymmetric military challenges and risks and how to cause the challenges on its matter. Moreover, it describes and review
reformatting modality in planning and wagging war due to the military technology development that contributed to a far more complicated strategic environment for war than that of previous century. In that respect is to be
identified new style of warfare – Urbanistic warfare presented in 2008 August Russia-Georgia war as well as in war in Ukraine (Mariupol battle) new definition of the warfare in general matter.